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TOPIC NINE

Using Stop-Losses

Almost all textbook trading lessons will highlight the importance of having a predetermined exit strategy (stop-loss). Being on the wrong direction of a trend without a stop-loss can blow an entire account.

A common phrase heard when starting out in trading is, ‘make sure you live to trade another day.’ Meaning don’t let one loss wipe out your whole account! The longer a trader stays in the game, the more experience they gain.


A stop-loss is considered safety net, ensuring losses don't exceed a certain amount. It is a predetermined level set where it is appropriate for both risk appetite and technical positioning to exit if losing (a distance set from entry). Stop losses can allow traders to fully come to terms with what capital is at risk.


Traders intentionally cut positions at a loss when the strategy failed, to protect further losses. Traders also don't want to watch the market all day long and stress when to exit. Placing a trade/order with a stop-loss and profit level allows traders to enjoying the rest of the time they have free, letting the market do what it does.

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The below shows an example of buying at a false support level and placing a stop-loss just under the next potential support level. 

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stop-loss

 

 

A common objection to using stop-losses is, ‘I don’t use stop losses because every time I do, I get stopped out of my trade and the market then turns my way and I miss out!’ If this happens regularly, it is likely the position of the stop loss may have been incorrect or a bit too tight.  

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Giving a trade room to breathe allows for dips. Some currency pairs can move 100-200 pips a day.

 


Where to place stop losses?

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So, where is the best place to put a stop-loss? Too close and it's almost sure to be hit and too far and what’s the point with a big loss. A strategy should aim to stay in the trade as well as provide an acceptable loss if the strategy fails. The area the stop-loss should be the point that if hit, the signal to get out of that trade is hit. A stop-loss that closes a position right before a run could mean the level selected was at a key turning point. 


Two common textbook ways to consider when setting the stop-loss level are outlined below. Knowing where also requires understanding how to calculate pip values and how much each pip will cost based on the lots traded. 


1) Percentage of your account – Risk profile and the amount willing to risk

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  • Stop loss position is determined by the amount willing to risk. Example is a stop-loss placed exactly 2% risk level away. 

  • If the account balance is $10,000, a 2% risk management limit is willing to risk a $200 loss. The stop is placed by calculating the number of pips resulting in exactly $200 loss, no matter where on the chart that sits.

  • This strategy is considered by many traders to be inefficient and an incorrect way of placing stop losses. It totally ignores what the chart and analysis says about the market and therefore placing the stop at a random, insignificant point. This stop could actually end up being placed at a level too far or too close based on ideal market levels.

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2) Technical analysis - Significant areas on the charts

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  • Learning to recognise ideal entry and exit points such as support, resistance, highs, lows, volatility and even fibonacci may help with stop-loss placement. A trader can determine where to put the stop-loss to best suit the levels without being cut out early. 

  • Once desired levels on the charts are analysed, calculate the number of pips this is from the entry level and determine how many contracts need to be placed in order to stay within the (e.g. 2% loss) risk level for that distance.


Other potential ways to determine where to put the stop according to textbooks: 

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  • Maximum distance from today’s high to today’s low

  • Maximum of yesterday’s close to today’s high

  • Maximum of yesterday’s close to today’s low​

  • Focus on prior correction low/high points

  • Try go below round numbers or halves

  • Be below the 30-week moving average

 


Trailing Stops

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Platforms allow traders to place stop-losses which will move as the market moves favourably. Trailing stops are useful if traders predict a run correctly and wish to prevent losing profits if the market turns around.


The trailing stop-loss follows the price and if for example is set to remain 50 pips from the market price (unless the market falls below original entry point), the stop-loss will trail the price high. As the market goes up (if in a buy position), this stop-loss will move up staying 50 points lower than the market. If the market turns 50 points lower from the highest level, the position will be closed.

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Trailing stop

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Trailing stop-loss placed approximately 90 pips away


Trailing stop-loss moves up with the market high if it hasn't retraced 90 pips since the previous high

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Trailing stop 2

 

 

Be mindful that trailing stops can close a position mid-way through a long run if there is some volatility and the market has a dip before continuing the run. Sometimes it is better to manually assess and move the stop loss upwards.

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Summary

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  1. Markets may need volatility breathing space

  2. Stops too far away could have little point resulting in an inefficient loss

  3. If the market approaches a stop loss, consider why before changing or moving it! It was likely there for a reason to begin with. Unless a trader realises it was placed in the wrong place, it likely should not be changed just to keep the trade open.

  4. Placing stops based on number of pips for your loss risk percentage while also using the charts levels is widely considered.

  5. When using support and resistance levels on the charts to determine the stop loss position, avoiding putting the stop-loss exactly on the level of support or resistance is considered.

  6. Moving stops up as the market advances can lock in gains.

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